Ralph Nelson Elliot around 1939 developed the Elliott Wave
Theory. Under the name of the Wave Principle, he compiled all the work that he
had published in the "Financial World" magazine. It was a series of
twelve articles on the behavior and fluctuations of the stock market.
His theory is based on
the movements of prices through the waves that compose it. Elliott developed
his theory based on the "Dow Theory" by Charles Henry Dow, the
forerunner of technical analysis, but took it one step further.
Principles of Dow's theory
Dow's theory is based on two main pillars:
●
The
bull markets are divided into three bullish sections. The first impulse after a
phase of accumulation taking advantage of the panic state of the market. Next,
a second impulse due to market optimism and finally, a third impulse because of
market euphoria.
●
After
that, there is a stretch of a trend that helps in a proportional correction
ranging from 30 to 60% of the total of the previous bullish section.
As we can see, Dow bases his theory on the psychology of the
masses and how this affects the price of shares in the markets.
Now, let’s see how Elliott Waves take it one step further.
Basic principles of Elliott Wave Theory
Elliott raises the idea that all economic cycles (from the
shortest to the longest) are structured in eight waves. Of these waves, three
are bullish impulses with two corrections and then two of descent that form the
correction of the previous bullish movement. This is the most common scheme
with which they are presented, although sometimes they may suffer variations in
their structure.
The main bases of the Elliott Wave Theory can be learned easily.
Even so, those who approach this theory for the first time will rarely succeed
with the possible evolution of the market using this system.
Elliott Wave Theory Formula
In the Elliott Waves, you will find Bullish Module 5-3. The
Elliott Wave Theory states that a first five-wave bullish phase forms a complete
bullish market cycle. Waves 1, 3, and 5 are impulsive, and waves 2 and 4 are
corrective. After this, movement of higher degree comes, and the so-called
correction waves are formed by three waves, A, B, and C.
Of these three waves, A and C will be considered bearish
impulses, and B is a corrective wave. Everything needs to work as per the Elliott Wave Theory formula.
However, one of the details that we need to take into account is
that the Elliott Wave Theory is only applicable in highly liquid securities or
markets. So, in markets of low trading and low liquid securities, Elliott Wave
theory will have no effect. Nevertheless, it is worth knowing about Elliott
Wave Theory if you are a stock market enthusiast. It helps in understanding the
market in ways that no other theory does. So, knowing this theory briefly is
also immensely helpful in understanding market psychology in the long run.
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